What is the current probability for "Dota 2: RE.Arise vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Dota 2: RE.Arise vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A" are Ends in Daytime 50%, Both Teams Beat Roshan 50%, Both Teams Destroy Barracks 50% — 6 of 20 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/5/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/666815. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Polymarket

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event20 outcomes

Dota 2: RE.Arise vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

·Sports·ends Jul 5, 2026

vol cum

$151k

vol 24h

$151.2k

outcomes

ends

Jul 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 20

EsportsDota 2GamesSports

marketselected outcome

Game 1 Winner

rank #1

100¢

▲ 28.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$110.7k

vol 24h

$110.7k

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 5, 2026

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between RE.Arise and PuckChamp in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for July 5 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RE.Arise" if RE.Arise win Game 1 against PuckChamp. This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win Game 1 against RE.Arise. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

timeline

opened · Jul 4, 2026closing sooncloses · Jul 5, 2026

Game 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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