What is the current probability for "Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Bruno Fernandez"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Bruno Fernandez" are Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Bruno Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 74%, Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Bruno Fernandez Match O/U 21.5 74%, Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Bruno Fernandez Match O/U 22.5 74% — 3 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/13/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/668358. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Bruno Fernandez

·Sports·ends Jul 13, 2026

vol cum

$674.3k

vol 24h

$674.3k

outcomes

ends

Jul 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Bruno Fernandez Set 2 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: varillas

100¢

▲ 55.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 13, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Varillas and Bruno Fernandez in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Varillas” if Juan Pablo Varillas wins set 2. It will resolve to “Fernandez” if Bruno Fernandez wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 5, 2026closedresolved · Jul 7, 2026

Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Bruno Fernandez Set 2 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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