What is the current probability for "Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly" are Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Total Sets: O/U 2.5 76%, Completed Match 75%, Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly 67% — 9 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/14/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/668383. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

↗

event16 outcomes

Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

·Sports·ends Jul 14, 2026

vol cum

$75.1k

vol 24h

$75.1k

outcomes

ends

Jul 14, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 8.5

rank #1 · resolved: over

100¢

▲ 63.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$233

vol 24h

$233

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 14, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Andres Santamarta and Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the Liege, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

timeline

opened · Jul 5, 2026closedresolved · Jul 6, 2026

Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 8.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.