What is the current probability for "Iasi: Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico Cina"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Iasi: Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico Cina" are Iasi: Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico Cina Match O/U 21.5 75%, Iasi: Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico Cina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 75%, Iasi: Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico Cina Match O/U 22.5 75% — 4 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/13/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/669253. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

↗

event16 outcomes

Iasi: Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico Cina

·Sports·ends Jul 13, 2026

vol cum

$48.7k

vol 24h

$48.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Iasi: Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico Cina Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: kasnikowski

100¢

▲ 53.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$312

vol 24h

$312

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 13, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Federico Cina in the Iasi, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Kasnikowski” if Maks Kasnikowski wins the first set. It will resolve to “Cina” if Federico Cina wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 5, 2026closedresolved · Jul 6, 2026

Iasi: Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico Cina Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.