What is the current probability for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?": 25–30M 47%, 30–35M 43%, 20–25M 41% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/673991. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event8 outcomes

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

·Culture·ends Jul 31, 2026

vol cum

$4.1k

vol 24h

$4.1k

outcomes

ends

Jul 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

viewsCultureMrBeastYouTube

marketselected outcome

25–30M

rank #1

47¢

▼ 2.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.72

ends

Jul 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

timeline

opened · Jul 6, 2026opencloses · Jul 31, 2026

25–30M · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history