What is the current probability for "Clacton by-election Winner"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Clacton by-election Winner": Nigel Farage 88%, Other 50%, Count Binface 8% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 6/30/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/677008. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event9 outcomes

Clacton by-election Winner

·Politics·ends Jun 30, 2027

vol cum

$567.9k

vol 24h

$567.5k

outcomes

ends

Jun 30, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

UKClactonPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionUnited KingdomGlobal Elections

marketselected outcome

Nigel Farage

rank #1

United Kingdom

88¢

▲ 0.9pp

24h change

vol cum

$266.3k

vol 24h

$266.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Jun 30, 2027

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

timeline

opened · Jul 7, 2026opencloses · Jun 30, 2027

Nigel Farage · prices over time

−24h

now

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