What is the current probability for "Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio" are Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Total Sets: O/U 2.5 74%, Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio 53%, Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Match O/U 21.5 51% — 4 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/15/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/678121. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio

·Sports·ends Jul 15, 2026

vol cum

$269.4k

vol 24h

$269.4k

outcomes

ends

Jul 15, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: pellegrino

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$151

vol 24h

$151

spread

0.98

ends

Jul 15, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Raul Brancaccio in the Trieste, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Pellegrino” if Andrea Pellegrino wins the first set. It will resolve to “Brancaccio” if Raul Brancaccio wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 7, 2026closedresolved · Jul 8, 2026

Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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