What is the current probability for "Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide" are Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Match O/U 22.5 75%, Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Total Sets: O/U 2.5 75%, Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Match O/U 21.5 75% — 4 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/16/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/678143. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide

·Sports·ends Jul 16, 2026

vol cum

$81.1k

vol 24h

$81k

outcomes

ends

Jul 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: cretu

100¢

▲ 59.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$153

vol 24h

$153

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 16, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Cezar Cretu and Gustavo Heide in the Iasi, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Cretu” if Cezar Cretu wins the first set. It will resolve to “Heide” if Gustavo Heide wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 7, 2026closedresolved · Jul 9, 2026

Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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