What is the current probability for "Newport: Hayato Matsuoka vs Alex Michelsen"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Newport: Hayato Matsuoka vs Alex Michelsen": Newport: Hayato Matsuoka vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5 100%, Completed Match 100%, Newport: Hayato Matsuoka vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% (top 3 of 16 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/15/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/679105. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Newport: Hayato Matsuoka vs Alex Michelsen

·Sports·ends Jul 15, 2026

vol cum

$62.5k

vol 24h

$62.5k

outcomes

ends

Jul 15, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Newport: Hayato Matsuoka vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5

rank #1

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$531

vol 24h

$531

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 15, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Hayato Matsuoka in the Newport, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Michelsen" if Alex Michelsen wins by 2 or more sets than Hayato Matsuoka, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Matsuoka." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

timeline

opened · Jul 8, 2026opencloses · Jul 15, 2026

Newport: Hayato Matsuoka vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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