What is the current probability for "Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli" are Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50%, Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 Winner 50%, Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 21.5 50% — 3 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/17/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/685706. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event16 outcomes

Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli

·Sports·ends Jul 17, 2026

vol cum

$82.4k

vol 24h

$82.4k

outcomes

ends

Jul 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 8.5

rank #1

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$48

vol 24h

$48

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 17, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Henry Bernet and Federico Bondioli in the Trieste, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

timeline

opened · Jul 9, 2026opencloses · Jul 17, 2026

Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 8.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.