What is the current probability for "ITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs Alina Tikhonova"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "ITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs Alina Tikhonova" are ITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs Alina Tikhonova Set Handicap +/-1.5 50%, Completed Match 50%, ITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs Alina Tikhonova Match O/U 23.5 50% — 5 of 15 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/18/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/688385. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event15 outcomes

ITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs Alina Tikhonova

·Sports·ends Jul 18, 2026

vol cum

$57.9k

vol 24h

$57.9k

outcomes

ends

Jul 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

ITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs Alina Tikhonova Set 2 Winner

rank #1

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$20

vol 24h

$20

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 18, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Kalyakina and Alina Tikhonova in the ITF Luan, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Kalyakina” if Maria Kalyakina wins set 2. It will resolve to “Tikhonova” if Alina Tikhonova wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 10, 2026opencloses · Jul 18, 2026

ITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs Alina Tikhonova Set 2 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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