What is the current probability for "Athens Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Makoto Ninomiya"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Athens Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Makoto Ninomiya" are Athens Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Makoto Ninomiya Set 2 O/U 10.5 51%, Athens Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Makoto Ninomiya Set Handicap +/-1.5 50%, Completed Match 50% — 3 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/18/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/689315. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Athens Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Makoto Ninomiya

·Sports·ends Jul 18, 2026

vol cum

$15.3k

vol 24h

$15.3k

outcomes

ends

Jul 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Athens Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Makoto Ninomiya Set 1 Winner

rank #1

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$20

vol 24h

$20

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 18, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Micic and Makoto Ninomiya in the Athens Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Micic” if Elena Micic wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ninomiya” if Makoto Ninomiya wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 10, 2026opencloses · Jul 18, 2026

Athens Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Makoto Ninomiya Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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