What is the current probability for "Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri": Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 8.5 69%, Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri 56%, Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 Winner 53% (top 3 of 15 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/18/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/690181. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

↗

event15 outcomes

Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri

·Sports·ends Jul 18, 2026

vol cum

$43.4k

vol 24h

$43.4k

outcomes

ends

Jul 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 8.5

rank #1

69¢

▲ 19.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$102

vol 24h

$102

spread

0.08

ends

Jul 18, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and Andrea Guerrieri in the Croatia Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

timeline

opened · Jul 11, 2026opencloses · Jul 18, 2026

Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 8.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.