What is the current probability for "Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowski"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowski" are Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowski 56%, Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 23.5 51%, Completed Match 50% — 5 of 15 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/19/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/692873. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event15 outcomes

Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowski

·Sports·ends Jul 19, 2026

vol cum

$39.8k

vol 24h

$39.8k

outcomes

ends

Jul 19, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: passaro

100¢

▲ 49.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$75

vol 24h

$75

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 19, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Passaro and Maks Kasnikowski in the Swedish Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Passaro” if Francesco Passaro wins the first set. It will resolve to “Kasnikowski” if Maks Kasnikowski wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 11, 2026closedresolved · Jul 12, 2026

Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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