What is the current probability for "LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season"?

Current Polymarket odds for "LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season": Match Winner 59%, Game 1 Winner 56%, Game 2 Winner 56% (top 3 of 23 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/14/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/698159. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event23 outcomes

LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season

·Sports·ends Jul 14, 2026

vol cum

$10.5k

vol 24h

$10.5k

outcomes

ends

Jul 14, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 23

Esportsleague of legendsGamesSports

marketselected outcome

Match Winner

rank #1

59¢

▲ 8.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$7.4k

vol 24h

$7.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 14, 2026

This market refers to the LoL match between LUA Gaming and FALKE Esports in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LUA Gaming" if LUA Gaming win the match against FALKE Esports. This market will resolve to "FALKE Esports" if FALKE Esports win the match against LUA Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

timeline

opened · Jul 13, 2026closing sooncloses · Jul 14, 2026

Match Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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