What is the current probability for "Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Sebastian Gorzny"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Sebastian Gorzny" are Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Sebastian Gorzny Total Sets: O/U 2.5 75%, Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Sebastian Gorzny Match O/U 21.5 75%, Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Sebastian Gorzny Match O/U 22.5 75% — 4 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/21/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/701439. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

↗

event16 outcomes

Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Sebastian Gorzny

·Sports·ends Jul 21, 2026

vol cum

$36.2k

vol 24h

$36.2k

outcomes

ends

Jul 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: forbes

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$9.8k

vol 24h

$9.8k

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 21, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Forbes and Sebastian Gorzny in the Lincoln, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Forbes” if Matthew Forbes wins the first set. It will resolve to “Gorzny” if Sebastian Gorzny wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 14, 2026closedresolved · Jul 14, 2026

Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.