What is the current probability for "Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger" are Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50%, Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger Match O/U 21.5 50%, Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger Set Handicap +/-1.5 50% — 2 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/22/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/705986. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger

·Sports·ends Jul 22, 2026

vol cum

$96.9k

vol 24h

$96.9k

outcomes

ends

Jul 22, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger Set 1 Winner

rank #1

100¢

▲ 43.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$537

vol 24h

$537

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 22, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Mark Lajal and Mitchell Krueger in the Lincoln, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to “Lajal” if Mark Lajal wins the first set. It will resolve to “Krueger” if Mitchell Krueger wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 15, 2026opencloses · Jul 22, 2026

Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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