What is the current probability for "ITF Castelo Branco: Tiago Cacao vs Goncalo Marques"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "ITF Castelo Branco: Tiago Cacao vs Goncalo Marques" are ITF Castelo Branco: Tiago Cacao vs Goncalo Marques Match O/U 22.5 75%, ITF Castelo Branco: Tiago Cacao vs Goncalo Marques Total Sets: O/U 2.5 75%, ITF Castelo Branco: Tiago Cacao vs Goncalo Marques Match O/U 21.5 75% — 6 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/25/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/715257. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

ITF Castelo Branco: Tiago Cacao vs Goncalo Marques

·Sports·ends Jul 25, 2026

vol cum

$13.8k

vol 24h

$13.8k

outcomes

ends

Jul 25, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

ITF Castelo Branco: Tiago Cacao vs Goncalo Marques Set 1 O/U 8.5

rank #1 · resolved: over

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 25, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Cacao and Goncalo Marques in the ITF Castelo Branco, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

timeline

opened · Jul 17, 2026closedresolved · Jul 18, 2026

ITF Castelo Branco: Tiago Cacao vs Goncalo Marques Set 1 O/U 8.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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