What is the current probability for "Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan" are Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan 66%, Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan Set 2 Winner 51%, Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan Match O/U 21.5 50% — 4 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/27/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/720217. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan

·Sports·ends Jul 27, 2026

vol cum

$128.1k

vol 24h

$128k

outcomes

ends

Jul 27, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: watanuki

100¢

▲ 68.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 27, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Yosuke Watanuki and Andre Ilagan in the Winnipeg, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Watanuki” if Yosuke Watanuki wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ilagan” if Andre Ilagan wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 19, 2026closedresolved · Jul 21, 2026

Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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