What is the current probability for "Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Louis Wessels"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Louis Wessels" are Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Louis Wessels Set 2 O/U 8.5 51%, Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Louis Wessels Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50%, Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Louis Wessels Match O/U 21.5 50% — 2 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/725799. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Louis Wessels

·Sports·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$12.3k

vol 24h

$12.3k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Louis Wessels Set 1 Winner

rank #1

100¢

▲ 61.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$635

vol 24h

$635

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 28, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Louis Wessels in the Tampere, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Kasnikowski” if Maks Kasnikowski wins the first set. It will resolve to “Wessels” if Louis Wessels wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026opencloses · Jul 28, 2026

Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Louis Wessels Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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