What is the current probability for "ITF Brisbane: Joshua Charlton vs Blake Ellis"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "ITF Brisbane: Joshua Charlton vs Blake Ellis" are ITF Brisbane: Joshua Charlton vs Blake Ellis Set 2 O/U 8.5 51%, ITF Brisbane: Joshua Charlton vs Blake Ellis Set Handicap +/-1.5 50%, ITF Brisbane: Joshua Charlton vs Blake Ellis Match O/U 22.5 50% — 4 of 15 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/725826. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event15 outcomes

ITF Brisbane: Joshua Charlton vs Blake Ellis

·Sports·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$21.7k

vol 24h

$21.7k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

ITF Brisbane: Joshua Charlton vs Blake Ellis Set 1 Winner

rank #1

100¢

▲ 33.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$10

vol 24h

$10

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 28, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Joshua Charlton and Blake Ellis in the ITF Brisbane, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to “Charlton” if Joshua Charlton wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ellis” if Blake Ellis wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026opencloses · Jul 28, 2026

ITF Brisbane: Joshua Charlton vs Blake Ellis Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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