What is the current probability for "Ethereum above ___ on July 20, 4PM ET?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Ethereum above 1,890 on July 20, 4PM ET?": 1,890 100%, 1,880 100%, 1,870 100% (top 3 of 16 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/20/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/726240. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Polymarket

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event16 outcomes

Ethereum above ___ on July 20, 4PM ET?

·Crypto·ends Jul 20, 2026

vol cum

$10k

vol 24h

$10k

outcomes

ends

Jul 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

Ethereum1HMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From New

marketselected outcome

1,890

rank #1 · resolved: yes

100¢

▲ 14.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$525

vol 24h

$525

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 20, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026closedresolved · Jul 20, 2026

1,890 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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