What is the current probability for "Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet": Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 1 Winner 84%, Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet 79%, Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 2 Winner 68% (top 3 of 15 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/726789. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

↗

event15 outcomes

Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet

·Sports·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$100.6k

vol 24h

$100.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 1 Winner

rank #1

84¢

▲ 33.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$281

vol 24h

$281

spread

0.13

ends

Jul 28, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Kyrian Jacquet in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Aguilar” if Daniel Merida Aguilar wins the first set. It will resolve to “Jacquet” if Kyrian Jacquet wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026opencloses · Jul 28, 2026

Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.