What is the current probability for "Segovia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Keegan Smith"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Segovia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Keegan Smith" are Completed Match 50%, Segovia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Keegan Smith Match O/U 21.5 50%, Segovia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Keegan Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% — 2 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/29/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/729614. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event16 outcomes

Segovia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Keegan Smith

·Sports·ends Jul 29, 2026

vol cum

$22.9k

vol 24h

$22.8k

outcomes

ends

Jul 29, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Segovia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Keegan Smith Set 1 O/U 8.5

rank #1

100¢

▲ 51.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 29, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Gonzalez Fernandez and Keegan Smith in the Segovia, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

timeline

opened · Jul 21, 2026opencloses · Jul 29, 2026

Segovia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Keegan Smith Set 1 O/U 8.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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