What is the current probability for "ITF Brisbane: Natsuho Arakawa vs Lily Fairclough"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "ITF Brisbane: Natsuho Arakawa vs Lily Fairclough" are ITF Brisbane: Natsuho Arakawa vs Lily Fairclough 61%, ITF Brisbane: Natsuho Arakawa vs Lily Fairclough Set 2 O/U 10.5 51%, Completed Match 50% — 4 of 15 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/29/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/729623. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

↗

event15 outcomes

ITF Brisbane: Natsuho Arakawa vs Lily Fairclough

·Sports·ends Jul 29, 2026

vol cum

$10.6k

vol 24h

$10.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 29, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

ITF Brisbane: Natsuho Arakawa vs Lily Fairclough Set 1 Winner

rank #1

100¢

▲ 39.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$310

vol 24h

$310

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 29, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Natsuho Arakawa and Lily Fairclough in the ITF Brisbane, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Arakawa” if Natsuho Arakawa wins the first set. It will resolve to “Fairclough” if Lily Fairclough wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 21, 2026opencloses · Jul 29, 2026

ITF Brisbane: Natsuho Arakawa vs Lily Fairclough Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.