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Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Polymarket·World
IsraelLebanon

As of 23:40 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, Polymarket prices “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?” at 1% (-3pp in 24h). The market has $74 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

1%
▼ 2.9pp
24h change
vol cum
$252.1k
vol 24h
$74
spread
0.00
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 1¢
No 99¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Israel x IranIsraelMiddle EastWorldLebanonPoliticsGeopolitics
timeline
opened · Nov 5, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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