marketsingle market
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
IsraelLebanon

17%
▲ 1.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$175.1k
vol 24h
$298
spread
0.02
ends
Dec 31, 2026
Yes 17¢
No 83¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
IsraelWorldLebanonPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastIsrael x Iran
timeline
opened · Nov 5, 2025opencloses · Dec 31, 2026