marketsingle market
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
North KoreaSouth Korea

9%
▲ 6.8pp
24h change
vol cum
$21k
vol 24h
$333
spread
0.09
ends
Jun 30, 2026
Yes 9¢
No 91¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
WorldGeopoliticsNorth KoreaForeign PolicySouth KoreaPolitics
timeline
opened · Nov 5, 2025opencloses · Jun 30, 2026