What is the current probability for "ITF Brisbane: Belle Thompson vs Natsuho Arakawa"?

Current Polymarket odds for "ITF Brisbane: Belle Thompson vs Natsuho Arakawa": ITF Brisbane: Belle Thompson vs Natsuho Arakawa Set 1 Winner 100%, ITF Brisbane: Belle Thompson vs Natsuho Arakawa Set 2 O/U 8.5 100%, ITF Brisbane: Belle Thompson vs Natsuho Arakawa Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% (top 3 of 15 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/30/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/733316. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event15 outcomes

ITF Brisbane: Belle Thompson vs Natsuho Arakawa

·Sports·ends Jul 30, 2026

vol cum

$10k

vol 24h

$10k

outcomes

ends

Jul 30, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

ITF Brisbane: Belle Thompson vs Natsuho Arakawa Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: thompson

100¢

▲ 60.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 30, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Belle Thompson and Natsuho Arakawa in the ITF Brisbane, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Thompson” if Belle Thompson wins the first set. It will resolve to “Arakawa” if Natsuho Arakawa wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 22, 2026closedresolved · Jul 23, 2026

ITF Brisbane: Belle Thompson vs Natsuho Arakawa Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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