What is the current probability for "ITF Bali: Ryuki Matsuda vs Rafalentino Ali Da Costa"?

Current Polymarket odds for "ITF Bali: Ryuki Matsuda vs Rafalentino Ali Da Costa": ITF Bali: Ryuki Matsuda vs Rafalentino Ali Da Costa Set 1 Winner 100%, ITF Bali: Ryuki Matsuda vs Rafalentino Ali Da Costa Set 1 O/U 8.5 100%, ITF Bali: Ryuki Matsuda vs Rafalentino Ali Da Costa Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% (top 3 of 15 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/30/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/735030. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event15 outcomes

ITF Bali: Ryuki Matsuda vs Rafalentino Ali Da Costa

·Sports·ends Jul 30, 2026

vol cum

$10.6k

vol 24h

$10.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 30, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

ITF Bali: Ryuki Matsuda vs Rafalentino Ali Da Costa Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: matsuda

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 30, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Rafalentino Ali Da Costa in the ITF Bali, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Matsuda” if Ryuki Matsuda wins the first set. It will resolve to “Costa” if Rafalentino Ali Da Costa wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 22, 2026closedresolved · Jul 23, 2026

ITF Bali: Ryuki Matsuda vs Rafalentino Ali Da Costa Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

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