What is the current probability for "Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner": Nate Pollnow 54%, Other 50%, Jay Schroeder 25% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/11/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/740601. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event5 outcomes

Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner

·Politics·ends Aug 11, 2026

vol cum

$1.5k

vol 24h

$1.5k

outcomes

ends

Aug 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

PoliticsElectionsPrimariesUS ElectionWisconsin Primaryprimary electionsRepublican PrimaryAugust 11 Primaries

marketselected outcome

Nate Pollnow

rank #1

United States

54¢

▲ 12.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$600

vol 24h

$600

spread

0.03

ends

Aug 11, 2026

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State Election. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

timeline

opened · Jul 23, 2026opencloses · Aug 11, 2026

Nate Pollnow · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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