What is the current probability for "#2 song in the US this week? (July 31)"?

Current Polymarket odds for "#2 song in the US this week? (July 31)": Been By Now - Morgan Wallen 56%, Other 50%, Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 34% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/745777. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event9 outcomes

#2 song in the US this week? (July 31)

·Culture·ends Jul 31, 2026

vol cum

$755

vol 24h

$754

outcomes

ends

Jul 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

songMusicalbumCulturespotifycelebrity

marketselected outcome

Been By Now - Morgan Wallen

rank #1

United States

56¢

▲ 18.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$221

vol 24h

$221

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 31, 2026

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled July 31. If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled July 31 by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

timeline

opened · Jul 25, 2026opencloses · Jul 31, 2026

Been By Now - Morgan Wallen · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history