What is the current probability for "Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Liam Draxl"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Liam Draxl": Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Liam Draxl Set 1 O/U 8.5 84%, Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Liam Draxl Set Handicap +/-1.5 63%, Completed Match 50% (top 3 of 16 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/1/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/746285. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Liam Draxl

·Sports·ends Aug 1, 2026

vol cum

$18.7k

vol 24h

$18.7k

outcomes

ends

Aug 1, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Liam Draxl Set 1 O/U 8.5

rank #1

84¢

▲ 24.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$48

vol 24h

$48

spread

0.33

ends

Aug 1, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Liam Draxl in the Winnipeg, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

timeline

opened · Jul 25, 2026opencloses · Aug 1, 2026

Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Liam Draxl Set 1 O/U 8.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.