As of 11:46 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, “Umaro Sissoco Embaló” leads “Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election” on Polymarket at 16% (+8pp in 24h), followed by “Fernando Dias da Costa” at 7% and “Honório Augusto Lopes” at 3%, out of 13 outcomes. The event has $180 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket.
vol cum
$343.9k
vol 24h
$180
outcomes
13
ends
Nov 24, 2025
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 13
ElectionsPoliticsGeopolitics
marketselected outcome
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
rank #1
Guinea-Bissau
16¢
▲ 8.2pp
24h change
vol cum
$92k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.23
ends
Nov 24, 2025
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
