What is the current probability for "Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith" are Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith Set 2 O/U 9.5 51%, Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith Set 2 O/U 8.5 51%, Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith Set Handicap +/-1.5 50% — 2 of 15 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/1/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/748058. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event15 outcomes

Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith

·Sports·ends Aug 1, 2026

vol cum

$239k

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$239k

outcomes

ends

Aug 1, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

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TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith Set 1 O/U 8.5

rank #1 · resolved: over

100¢

▲ 33.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Aug 1, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Lea Ma and Alana Smith in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 3:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

timeline

opened · Jul 25, 2026closedresolved · Jul 25, 2026

Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith Set 1 O/U 8.5 · prices over time

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