What is the current probability for "Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 28?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 28?": 40°C or higher 33%, 39°C 32%, 38°C 25% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/750635. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Polymarket

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event11 outcomes

Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 28?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$40k

vol 24h

$20.4k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

WeatherRecurringHide From NewDaily TemperatureJeddahHighest temperature

marketselected outcome

40°C or higher

rank #1

Saudi Arabia

33¢

▼ 7.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$13.2k

vol 24h

$8.9k

spread

0.05

ends

Jul 28, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

timeline

opened · Jul 26, 2026closing sooncloses · Jul 28, 2026

40°C or higher · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history