What is the current probability for "Nizhny Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Nizhny Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner": United Russia 96%, Other 50%, Party 1 50% (top 3 of 28 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/20/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/762418. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

↗

event28 outcomes

Nizhny Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

·Politics·ends Sep 20, 2026

vol cum

$627

vol 24h

$627

outcomes

ends

Sep 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 28

RussiaPoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsInternational Election Props

marketselected outcome

United Russia

rank #1

Russia

96¢

▲ 6.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$100

vol 24h

$100

spread

0.07

ends

Sep 20, 2026

Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Nizhny Novgorod Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Nizhny Novgorod Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nizhny Novgorod Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Nizhny Novgorod Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.

timeline

opened · Jul 28, 2026opencloses · Sep 20, 2026

United Russia · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history