What is the current probability for "San Marino: Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanen"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "San Marino: Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanen" are San Marino: Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 8.5 51%, San Marino: Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 21.5 50%, San Marino: Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanen Set Handicap +/-1.5 50% — 2 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/6/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/765526. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

San Marino: Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanen

·Sports·ends Aug 6, 2026

vol cum

$68.9k

vol 24h

$68.9k

outcomes

ends

Aug 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

San Marino: Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: skatov

100¢

▲ 58.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$411

vol 24h

$411

spread

0.00

ends

Aug 6, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Timofey Skatov and Otto Virtanen in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Skatov” if Timofey Skatov wins the first set. It will resolve to “Virtanen” if Otto Virtanen wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 28, 2026closedresolved · Jul 30, 2026

San Marino: Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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