As of 03:57 UTC on 28 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 15 markets in “Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?” on Polymarket are “Thom Tillis” at 11%, “Kirsten Gillibrand” at 9% and “Mark Warner” at 8% (+1pp in 24h). The event has $3k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?” on Kalshi, an event with 12 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict, Limitless and Manifold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088
The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote.
Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally.
This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).
