What is the current probability for "Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner": Other 50%, Caroline Dubé 49%, Daniel Gobeil 47% (top 3 of 4 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/770150. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event4 outcomes

Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner

·Politics·ends Aug 31, 2026

vol cum

$2.3k

vol 24h

$2.3k

outcomes

ends

Aug 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

CanadaPoliticsElectionsby electionMain ElectionGlobal Elections

marketselected outcome

Other

rank #1

Canada

50¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 31, 2026

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Chicoutimi—Le Fjord is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).

timeline

opened · Jul 30, 2026opencloses · Aug 31, 2026

Other · prices over time

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now

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