What is the current probability for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?": Ransom Canyon: Season 2 84%, Other 50%, Hannibal: Season 1 8% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/4/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/770398. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event11 outcomes

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

·Culture·ends Aug 4, 2026

vol cum

$525

vol 24h

$525

outcomes

ends

Aug 4, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

MoviesCulturenetflixTop Netflix

marketselected outcome

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

rank #1

United States

84¢

▲ 35.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$180

vol 24h

$180

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 4, 2026

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

timeline

opened · Jul 30, 2026opencloses · Aug 4, 2026

Ransom Canyon: Season 2 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history