What is the current probability for "Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Mia Ristic"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Mia Ristic" are Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Mia Ristic 74%, Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Mia Ristic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50%, Completed Match 50% — 4 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/7/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/772857. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event16 outcomes

Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Mia Ristic

·Sports·ends Aug 7, 2026

vol cum

$56.9k

vol 24h

$56.9k

outcomes

ends

Aug 7, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Mia Ristic Set 1 O/U 9.5

rank #1

100¢

▲ 54.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$26

vol 24h

$26

spread

0.00

ends

Aug 7, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Samson and Mia Ristic in the Targu Mures, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger results.

timeline

opened · Jul 30, 2026opencloses · Aug 7, 2026

Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Mia Ristic Set 1 O/U 9.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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