What is the current probability for "What price will Bitcoin hit on August 1?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "What price will Bitcoin hit on August 1?": ↓ 63,000 100%, ↑ 64,000 10%, ↓ 62,000 4% (top 3 of 16 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/2/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/779813. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Polymarket

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event16 outcomes

What price will Bitcoin hit on August 1?

·Crypto·ends Aug 2, 2026

vol cum

$21.7k

vol 24h

$21.7k

outcomes

ends