What is the current probability for "San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Mili Poljicak"?

Current Polymarket odds for "San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Mili Poljicak": San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Mili Poljicak Set 1 Winner 100%, San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Mili Poljicak 89%, San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Mili Poljicak Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% (top 3 of 16 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/9/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/783589. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Mili Poljicak

·Sports·ends Aug 9, 2026

vol cum

$68.2k

vol 24h

$68.2k

outcomes

ends

Aug 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Mili Poljicak Set 1 Winner

rank #1

100¢

▲ 38.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Aug 9, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Mili Poljicak in the San Marino, originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Acosta” if Facundo Acosta wins the first set. It will resolve to “Poljicak” if Mili Poljicak wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Aug 1, 2026opencloses · Aug 9, 2026

San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Mili Poljicak Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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