What is the current probability for "Istanbul 2: Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Istanbul 2: Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo": Istanbul 2: Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo Set 1 Winner 86%, Istanbul 2: Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo 63%, Istanbul 2: Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo Set Handicap +/-1.5 50% (top 3 of 16 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/10/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/783614. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Istanbul 2: Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo

·Sports·ends Aug 10, 2026

vol cum

$13k

vol 24h

$13k

outcomes

ends

Aug 10, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Istanbul 2: Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo Set 1 Winner

rank #1

86¢

▲ 37.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 10, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Tuncay Duran and Antoine Ghibaudo in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Duran” if Tuncay Duran wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ghibaudo” if Antoine Ghibaudo wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Aug 1, 2026opencloses · Aug 10, 2026

Istanbul 2: Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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