What is the current probability for "Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas" are Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas 85%, Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Match O/U 21.5 75%, Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Total Sets: O/U 2.5 75% — 4 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/10/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/783674. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event16 outcomes

Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas

·Sports·ends Aug 10, 2026

vol cum

$36.8k

vol 24h

$36.7k

outcomes

ends

Aug 10, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Set 2 O/U 8.5

rank #1 · resolved: over

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Aug 10, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Vilius Gaubas in the Hagen, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

timeline

opened · Aug 1, 2026closedresolved · Aug 4, 2026

Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Set 2 O/U 8.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

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