What is the current probability for "IPOs before 2027?"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "IPOs before 2027?" are Anthropic 71%, SHEIN 56%, Discord 41% — 4 of 34 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 12/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/79048. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event34 outcomes

IPOs before 2027?

·Business·ends Dec 31, 2026

vol cum

$6.8M

vol 24h

$10.7k

outcomes

ends

Dec 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 34

BusinessBig TechIPOsFinance

marketselected outcome

SHEIN

rank #6

ChinaUnited States

56¢

▲ 26.3pp

24h change

vol cum

$85k

vol 24h

$1.7k

spread

0.05

ends

Dec 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline

opened · Feb 2, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026

SHEIN · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history