event18 outcomes

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Polymarket·Economy·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 00:42 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 18 markets in “How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?” on Polymarket are “4.0%” at 100%, “Below 4.9%” at 97% (+9pp in 24h) and “Below 4.8%” at 63% (+26pp in 24h). The event has $1.6k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.

vol cum

$520.7k

vol 24h

$1.6k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 18

EconomyBusinessFinanceFed RatesTrumpPoliticsUS CPI

marketselected outcome

4.0%

rank #1 · resolved: yes

100¢

vol cum

$31.8k

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Dec 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

timeline

opened · Nov 12, 2025closedresolved · Feb 28, 2026

4.0% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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