What is the current probability for "Bitcoin above ___ on August 4, 10AM ET?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Bitcoin above 63,400 on August 4, 10AM ET?": 63,400 100%, 63,200 100%, 63,000 100% (top 3 of 20 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/4/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/795962. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event20 outcomes

Bitcoin above ___ on August 4, 10AM ET?

·Crypto·ends Aug 4, 2026

vol cum

$11.1k

vol 24h

$11.1k

outcomes

ends

Aug 4, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 20

Bitcoin1HMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From New

marketselected outcome

63,400

rank #1 · resolved: yes

100¢

▲ 4.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$629

vol 24h

$629

spread

0.00

ends

Aug 4, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

timeline

opened · Aug 4, 2026closedresolved · Aug 4, 2026

63,400 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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