What is the current probability for "ITF Astana: Satima Toregen vs Kira Bataikina"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "ITF Astana: Satima Toregen vs Kira Bataikina" are ITF Astana: Satima Toregen vs Kira Bataikina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 75%, ITF Astana: Satima Toregen vs Kira Bataikina Match O/U 21.5 75%, ITF Astana: Satima Toregen vs Kira Bataikina Match O/U 22.5 75% — 5 of 15 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/12/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/798228. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event15 outcomes

ITF Astana: Satima Toregen vs Kira Bataikina

·Sports·ends Aug 12, 2026

vol cum

$14.3k

vol 24h

$14.3k

outcomes

ends

Aug 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

ITF Astana: Satima Toregen vs Kira Bataikina Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: toregen

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 12, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Satima Toregen and Kira Bataikina in the ITF Astana, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Toregen” if Satima Toregen wins the first set. It will resolve to “Bataikina” if Kira Bataikina wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

timeline

opened · Aug 4, 2026closedresolved · Aug 6, 2026

ITF Astana: Satima Toregen vs Kira Bataikina Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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