What is the current probability for "Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski": Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 8.5 51%, Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 9.5 51%, Completed Match 50% (top 3 of 16 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/13/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/798280. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski

·Sports·ends Aug 13, 2026

vol cum

$50.8k

vol 24h

$50.6k

outcomes

ends

Aug 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 8.5

rank #1

51¢

▲ 0.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.98

ends

Aug 13, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Marrero and Maks Kasnikowski in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

timeline

opened · Aug 4, 2026opencloses · Aug 13, 2026

Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 8.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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